Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 2.952159 3.246044 3.563168 3.931909 4.350266 4.811769 5.361583
2025-10-05 2.535769 2.932499 3.389114 3.957668 4.652401 5.481184 6.556008
2025-10-12 2.296372 2.753451 3.304720 4.026995 4.961006 6.145868 7.791935
2025-10-19 2.123537 2.620400 3.242555 4.092344 5.244427 6.784623 9.057304
2025-10-26 1.985491 2.509876 3.187677 4.147219 5.503039 7.402475 10.364015
2025-11-02 1.862656 2.403829 3.122778 4.172988 5.712515 7.962638 11.654313
2025-11-09 1.712036 2.245961 2.970950 4.057085 5.697819 8.181567 12.435760
2025-11-16 1.600855 2.132542 2.869469 4.000291 5.758507 8.512628 13.435293
2025-11-23 1.514243 2.046478 2.798633 3.979569 5.867541 8.925455 14.627870
2025-11-30 1.474434 2.023730 2.816401 4.092344 6.195629 9.731651 16.650856
2025-12-07 1.402320 1.948467 2.749819 4.065794 6.289649 10.144725 17.998358
2025-12-14 1.331517 1.870526 2.673348 4.015885 6.336850 10.476126 19.234500
2025-12-21 1.235662 1.750928 2.527511 3.845024 6.164593 10.397401 19.636206
2025-12-28 1.193731 1.711482 2.504491 3.876759 6.354420 11.023224 21.673154
2026-01-04 1.163044 1.687364 2.503666 3.945098 6.616255 11.821422 24.265345
2026-01-11 1.133659 1.663329 2.500892 4.008864 6.874731 12.646379 27.107741
2026-01-18 1.104329 1.637522 2.493139 4.062337 7.117716 13.471376 30.148716
2026-01-25 1.071763 1.604566 2.471084 4.087441 7.306058 14.203136 33.127769
2026-02-01 1.016965 1.532410 2.378320 3.974524 7.202216 14.263771 34.252054
2026-02-08 0.975877 1.481068 2.318516 3.919185 7.212175 14.587743 36.222895
2026-02-15 0.943317 1.442472 2.278717 3.898993 7.294164 15.093272 38.879781
2026-02-22 0.933510 1.441740 2.305211 4.008877 7.668108 16.367697 44.371121
2026-03-01 0.903239 1.404569 2.264602 3.983010 7.738330 16.886290 47.500811